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Model:
    Overview
1. How the Model Works
2. Use the Model
3. Variable and Input Explanations
4. Frequently Asked Questions
5. Examples
 

Introduction The Housing Development Vehicle Ownership Model is a tool for developers of affordable housing to help determine the appropriate amount of parking for a particular project.  The model uses a project's unique characteristics (location, unit types, rent levels) and rigorously developed statistical models to predict the total number of vehicles that will be owned by the residents of a planned development. It also predicts how much driving (vehicle miles traveled) is expected to be done at the development.
 
Purposes
  • For parking variance applications
  • To predict vehicle ownership demand, and thus parking demand at proposed developments using development details.
  • To estimate traffic impact of proposed housing developments
  • To encourage flexible minimum parking requirements that reflect income, neighborhood characteristics and access to transit
 
Background The Housing Development Vehicle Ownership Model is an application of empirically grounded research on travel area in the Bay Area. 

The model is based on research conducted for the Location Efficient Mortgage* project.  The project included the Center for Neighborhood Technology, the Natural Resources Defense Council Surface Transportation Policy Project, and Fannie Mae.

The model is particularly useful for affordable housing projects. This is because income is one of the key determinants of vehicle ownership.  Because of maximum income levels and deed-restrictions on affordability, the general income level of households in an affordable housing development is known.  This makes predicting vehicle ownership, and thus parking demand, much more accurate. 

The model also predicts average vehicle miles traveled per household (VMT).  This information can be used to more accurately assess the traffic impact of a housing development.  

 
Section Outline 1. How the Model Works
2. Use the Model
3. Variable and Input Explanations
4. Frequently Asked Questions
5. Examples (Coming Soon)
 
*Location Efficient Mortgage is a certification mark owned by the Institute for Location Efficiency. Unauthorized use of this mark is prohibited



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